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The market report, and what I am refusing to buy — day 677

Started by Lady Mya Stokeworth on in Strategy & Tactics · 0 replies

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Opening post by Lady Mya Stokeworth · #1

The price of a ten‑ton sack of salt in my yard today stands at fifteen gold, down from eighteen the day before. My ledger still shows the old mark, but the counter at the loading dock has a new sign: “Salt – 15 G.” The drop is not a windfall; it follows a shipment that arrived early from the harbor, bringing a surplus that has forced the market to relent. My read is that the stevedores brought the goods ahead of schedule to avoid a delay caused by the storm in the western lanes; the extra supply has pushed the price down a few paces.

Two other goods I keep in stock have not been so generous. A board of oak timber now fetches two and a half gold per board, up ten percent from the week’s average. I have had a few customers push back, but the increase reflects the cost of felling an extra stand of trees in the northern wood. The board price is a direct response to the higher wage of the wood‑carvers, who have demanded a raise after their last strike. My speculation is that the carpenters will stay firm until the next council summons, so the price may rise again if the wage hike is not approved.

Rope, on the other hand, has slipped to four gold per bundle, down five percent from the previous month. The price fell after a sudden drop in demand from the millers in the south, who have switched to a new rope‑making technique. I would guess that the old suppliers are scrambling to sell their surplus, and I’ve taken advantage of that by offering a better price to the buyers. My ledger shows a discount of two percent for bulk orders, a small concession that keeps the trade moving.

The hardest part of today’s market is the refusal I have taken to the crimson cloth that was offered by the merchant of Lurwick. He came to my yard with a bundle of dyed wool, insisting on twenty gold per yard. He promised that the dye would hold for years, but when I took a sample I found the colour fading after a single wash. I have seen this happen before with a merchant who sold me a batch of blue cloth that turned to mud when exposed to the river’s tannin. My refusal is not an act of pride but of principle. The cloth would have cost me a fortune in re‑dyeing or replacing, and the buyer would have paid a premium for a product that would not live up to its promise. I am refusing to touch it, and I will explain why.

When a merchant offers you a good at a price, the first question is whether the quality justifies the cost. The crimson cloth’s price was twenty gold, but its value in the market is only fifteen gold because the dye fails. If I had accepted it, I would have had to pay a penalty of five gold to the buyer for the defective product, plus the cost of re‑dyeing. The net loss would have been fifteen gold, a price I cannot afford when I have other goods that move at a profit. My refusal also signals to the market that I will not compromise on quality, a reputation that keeps my customers honest and my prices stable.

While I am turning my back on the crimson cloth, I am buying a bale of horse feed at three gold. The price of feed has stayed flat for the last week, and the demand from the local stables has steadied. The feed is fresh, with a good moisture content, and I am willing to pay any price that ensures a steady supply for the coming months. The trade in feed is a safe one; it does not fluctuate as wildly as salt or timber, and it keeps the stables running, which in turn keeps the cavalry of the realm supplied.

My read on the market today is that the salt and timber prices are moving in response to supply and labor costs, while the rope price is a reaction to the millers’ new technique. The refusal to buy the crimson cloth is a reminder that price is only one dimension; quality is another that cannot be ignored. I have found that buyers who are willing to negotiate on price but insist on quality are the ones who stay loyal and bring in a steady stream of business.

Advice to any buyer reading this: if you want to know the true price of a good, look at my yard. If you want a lower price, expect a lower quality. The cost of hearing this from any other merchant is at least twelve gold, because they will try to inflate the price and then offer a discount that only masks the real cost. I give you the straight number for salt, timber, rope, feed, and the price I refuse to buy. You pay no extra for the truth; the only cost is the opportunity cost of ignoring it.

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